Risks and Decisions for Conservation and Environmental Management

Mark Burgman - Collection Ecology, Biodiversity and Conservation

490 pages, parution le 07/04/2005

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Résumé

This book outlines how to conduct a complete environmental risk assessment. The first part documents the psychology and philosophy of risk perception and assessment, introducing a taxonomy of uncertainty and the importance of context. It provides a critical examination of the use and abuse of expert judgement and goes on to outline approaches to hazard identification and subjective ranking that account for uncertainty and context. The second part of the book describes technical tools that can assist risk assessments to be transparent and internally consistent. These include interval arithmetic, ecotoxicological methods, logic trees and Monte Carlo simulation. These methods have an established place in risk assessments in many disciplines and their strengths and weaknesses are explored. The last part of the book outlines some new approaches, including p-bounds and information-gap theory, and describes how quantitative and subjective assessments can be used to make transparent decisions.

Sets a professional standard for risk analysis
Transcends disciplinary boundaries
Provides sufficient detail to allow methods to be implemented without prior technical training

L'auteur - Mark Burgman

Mark Burgman: University of Melbourne

Sommaire

Values, history and perception
Kinds of uncertainty
Conventions and the risk management cycle
Experts, stakeholders and elicitation
Conceptual models and hazard assessment
Risk ranking
Ecotoxicology
Logic trees and decisions
Defining and eliciting intervals
Monte Carlo
Inference, decisions, monitoring and updating
Decisions and risk management

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Caractéristiques techniques

	PAPIER
Éditeur(s)	Cambridge University Press
Auteur(s)	Mark Burgman
Collection	Ecology, Biodiversity and Conservation
Parution	07/04/2005
Nb. de pages	490
Format	15,5 x 22,5
Couverture	Broché
Poids	840g
Intérieur	Noir et Blanc
EAN13	9780521543019
ISBN13	978-0-521-54301-9