The Science of Disasters

Climate Disruptions, Heart Attacks, and Market Crashes

A. Bunde, Jozef Kropp, H.-J. Schellnhuber

454 pages, parution le 15/03/2002

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Résumé

Are there universal laws governing the persistence of weather, and is it possible to predict climate transitions as generated by natural or man-made perturbations? How can one quantify the roller-coaster dynamics of stock markets and anticipate mega-crashes? Can we diagnose the health condition of patients from heartbeat time-series analysis which may even form the basis for infarct prevention? This book tackles these questions by applying advanced methods from statistical physics and related fields to all types of non-linear dynamics prone to disaster. The transdisciplinary analysis is organized in some dozen review articles written by world-class scientists.

Table of Contents

General
Entropy, complexity, predictability and data analysis of time series and letter sequences
Wavelet based multifractal formalism
Space-time variability of the European climate
Atmospheric persistence analysis
Is climate predictable?- Fractal and multifractal approaches in physiology
Physiological relevance of scaling of heart phenomena
Local scaling properties for diagnostic purposes
Unstable periodic orbits and stochastic synchronization in sensory biology
Crowd disasters and simulation of panic situations
Investigations of financial markets using statistical physics methods
Market fluctuations I: Scaling, multi-scaling and their possible origins
Market fluctuations II: Multiplicative and percolation models, size effects and predicitons.

L'auteur - A. Bunde

Bunde, A., Justus-Liebig-Universität, Gießen, Germany;

L'auteur - Jozef Kropp

Kropp, J., Potsdam-Institut für Klimaforschung e.V., Potsdam, Germany;

L'auteur - H.-J. Schellnhuber

Schellnhuber, H.-J., Potsdam-Institut für Klimaforschung e.V., Potsdam, Germany (Eds.)

Caractéristiques techniques

	PAPIER
Éditeur(s)	Springer
Auteur(s)	A. Bunde, Jozef Kropp, H.-J. Schellnhuber
Parution	15/03/2002
Nb. de pages	454
Format	19,7 x 27,5
Couverture	Relié
Poids	1450g
Intérieur	Noir et Blanc
EAN13	9783540413240